Sunday, 6 March 2016

Game: Tottenham vs Arsenal




The team that plays the best football in Premier League against the one who used to play. Don´t know what's going on with Arsenal but it hasn´t  been the same team in the last few games. I understand their defensive position against Barcelona, but not in Old Trafford.
The team has abdicated of their possession and offensive football which lies deep in the team ideas. This was a great opportunity for Arsenal to be champions but their attitude doesn't demonstrate the will.
Is Wenger trying to imitate Mourinho last end of the season approach? :)

Tottenham started very well playing "like a champion".  The team dominated Arsenal in their half. The ball recovery was so fast and efficient that Arsenal can not even fight back in the counter-attack.
After some goal opportunities, I started betting in Tottenham around 2.32.

For the next 35 minutes, Tottenham created a lot of opportunities to score. During the time of 35' to 39', I was evaluating closing my bet because Tottenham was reducing the game pace which could lead to better counter-attacks from Arsenal. But unfortunately for me, I wasn´t fast enough and Ramsey did score (my condolences to the next celebrity :)).
It wasn´t fair for Tottenham and for me but I had to close my bet with a loss around 55% of my responsibility.

I sit back and watched the game. At the 55th minute, Coquelin receives the red card and I get a good price when the market reopens at 4.9.
I was a good price because then it went to 4.4/4.5 so I had some time until my bet devalues.
Tottenham reacted very well to the red card and the price lowered even more so I was comfortable. Fortunately, for me, I didn´t have to wait much time for the draw.

After Tottenham's goal, I closed my bet and reduced my loss from 55% to 19%.
You can say that I should have waited a little more for Kane's goal but at that time the price would devalue fast and in the long run, I don´t think it would happen two goals so fast so often in a game.

Tottenham is not one of my favorites teams to bet because despite their great football they start in disadvantage many times which leads to early bet losses.